Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Line: Cleveland -4.5
Moneyline: Cleveland -200; Pittsburgh +165
Pittsburgh and Cleveland are coming off winnable losses.
I’m a little surprised that the Browns are over a field goal favorite in this one.
As much as people will harp on quarterbacks, Jacoby Brissett and Mitch Trubisky, the game will come down to the Browns running game against the Steelers run defense. I like Pittsburgh’s defense enough to feel like they will keep it close on the road. Steelers +4.5
The first prop I usually look at involves the quarterbacks but Brissett and Trubisky don’t offer much in that way. Trubisky over 12.5 yards rushing is tempting but not tempting enough to take.
Nick Chubb is -190 for a Touchdown Anytime and +160 to score 2 touchdowns or more. Touchdown Anytime is a solid play but I don’t like the number. Najee Harris is a solid +110 in the Touchdown Anytime category. That’s solid value. Prop: Harris +110 Touchdown Anytime
It’s a risk taking a Steelers receiver but Pat Freiermuth over 35.5 yards receiving is something to consider along with his Touchdown Anytime +160. Last but not least, both defenses are +450 to score a touchdown. There will be a defensive touchdown in this one. It’s up to you to pick the correct one.